(figures updated after each tournament week or two weeks in the case of Grand Slams) 2013 Season performance - Stake: 331.50 Profit/Loss: +34.56 ROI: 10.43% 2014 Season performance - Stake: 353.50 Profit/Loss: +11.01 ROI: 3.11% 2015 Season performance - Stake: 259.00 Profit/Loss: -23.68 ROI: -9.14%
Season performance - Stake: 42.00 Profit/Loss: +6.64 ROI: 15.81% The Overrule will be moving on to ATP Acapulco, Dubai and Sao Paulo next week as well as WTA Acapulco and Florianopolis. Details on how to join The Overrule from March for Indian Wells onward are available here.
The Overrule is a tennis betting service that is tailored to the needs of individual subscribers covering professional tennis at ATP, WTA, Davis Cup, Fed Cup and Grand Slam level.
The aim of The Overrule is to provide subscribers value in tennis betting where it concerns pre-match match betting and outright/specials markets as well as input into opportunities that might exist through in-play betting.
New subscribers can join The Overrule beginning March 5th for the remainder of the season which ends in late November. Further opportunities to join The Overrule (subject to the subscription limit) will be available in April, May and lastly in June.
HOW MUCH DOES THE SERVICE COST?
The service costs £160 ($270 US/$300 CAN/200 EUR/$300 AUS) for the remainder of the season from March 5th onward, spanning 8 months and working out to £20 a month for a season subscription.
WHAT IS THE METHOD OF PAYMENT AND WHEN WILL PAYMENTS BE ACCEPTED UNTIL?
The payment method is via Pay Pal only. Once the potential subscriber and I have agreed that the service is suitable for them, a place is reserved for them and payment details will be exchanged. Payments will be accepted from February 21st until March 5th.
HOW HAS THE OVERRULE FARED IN THE PAST?
Last season The Overrule returned a profit of 34.56 units/points from 129 bets, staking 331.50 units/points with a return of investment (ROI) of 10.43%. For a subscriber who bets £100 per point, this meant a total profit of £3456.
The service is aimed at subscribers who bet at least £50 a point.
Over the four and a bit years of the service a £100 per point bettor has profited to the tune of £22,425 from The Overrule’s selections against best price at the time of advised selection.
http://www.theoverrule.blogspot.co.uk/2014/03/adding-up-overrule.html The Overrule in 2014 thus far. http://www.theoverrule.blogspot.co.uk/2014/03/acapulcodubaisao-paulo-overview.html
WHAT IS THE STAKING PLAN?
The Overrule has always staked on the basis of 0.25 to a max 5 unit/points stake. Last season the average stake on a selection was 2.57 units/points (for a £100 a unit/point bettor that would be £257), The Overrule takes the responsibility of advising selections very seriously and the staking plan and its limitations factor this in.
I'M RESTRICTED AT MOST BOOKMAKERS FOR PAST SUCCESS, CAN YOU STILL CATER SELECTIONS FOR ME?
Yes. The Overrule advises best price selections for those able to take advantage of a variety of bookmakers as well as for those who have limitations through Pinnacle selections. A tissue price is sent out with every selection to deem minimum value. Since the start of the 2013 season The Overrule is +33.87 points on match-bets against Pinnacle across 69 match-bets at an ROI of 20.40%. For a £100 point bettor a profit of £3387 since the start of the 2013 season on match-bets alone. http://www.theoverrule.blogspot.co.uk/2014/03/adding-up-overrule.html
HOW DO I RECEIVE THE ADVISED SELECTIONS?
All selections are sent out via e-mail. There will be a daily e-mail sent either to advise selections or to state there are no selections for that day but may include information on in-play opportunities to look out for on certain matches or markets.
WILL I RECEIVE A NOTIFICATION AS TO WHEN TO EXPECT THE DAILY E-MAIL RELEASES?
Yes. A release warning e-mail will be sent out 15 minutes before selections are sent. This release warning will also be posted on The Overrule’s Twitter account.
WILL THERE BE A REGULAR SCHEDULE FOR THE DAILY E-MAILS EACH WEEK?
Yes. Once The Overrule is able to factor in the release of the next day’s order of play and when prices are available with bookmakers a regular structure within a reasonable time frame will become apparent during the week and subscribers will be notified of this.
DO YOU OFFER ANY MONEY BACK GUARANTEES?
Yes. Subscriber satisfaction along with returning a healthy profit are the most important elements of The Overrule’s service. With that in mind The Overrule is happy to offer a pro-rated money back guarantee after the first three months of your service up until the last three months of the service.
If for any reason you wish to end your subscription you may do so between June and August and receive the remaining balance of your subscription back through Pay Pal. Simply contact The Overrule before the first of the month to request cancellation and your payment pro-rated will be returned on the 15th of that month.
Request by June 1st, payment returned June 15th for £100.
Request by July 1st, payment returned July 15th for £80.
Request by August 1st, payment returned August 15th for £60.
I BELIEVE THIS IS THE SERVICE FOR ME, WHAT'S THE NEXT STEP?
Contact The Overrule at theoverrule@gmail.com so we can discuss your betting outs (available bookmakers) and determine if the service is suitable for you and to reserve your spot on the subscription list. If there are any further queries or questions regarding the service, please let me know.
Since The Overrule's inception 6 years ago through syndication here's a breakdown of the numbers and profits subscribers have tasted. The Overrule took a year off in 2012 and returned in 2013 free of syndication to the place we are today tailored to the needs of individual subscribers.
In total from inception up to and including last week's results against general best price;
Generally an ROI of 5% over a season in tennis is considered a desirable return but The Overrule is returning over double that return over a number of years with consistency each year. A £100 per point bettor (The Overrule's maximum advised stake on a single selection is 5 points or £500 and on average 2.65 points or £265) has profited to the tune of £22,703 since The Overrule's inception.
Since 2013 The Overrule has also been tracking and advising selections with Pinnacle users in mind for those bettors who have been restricted at traditional bookmakers for past success. During that time here are the numbers on how The Overrule has fared on match-bets against Pinnacle since the 2013 season up to and including last week's results;
A £100 per point bettor has profited to the tune of £3317 on match-bets alone against Pinnacle using The Overrule's selections since the start of 2013. And this season those portfolio of match-bets will increase for 2014 season subscribers.
For full details of how The Overrule performed in 2013, check out the season review.
How The Overrule has performed in 2014 against general best price and Pinnacle.
The Overrule has subscribers from the UK, US, Canada and Australia and is one of few services that offers a money back guarantee and a regular personalised service on a daily basis throughout the season. Details on how to join The Overrule from March will be available shortly. Feel free to contact The Overrule at theoverrule@gmail.com
Over recent times in Jon Wertheim's mailbag he has broached the subject of Davis Cup and made some of the usual lazy arguments that you often see used by members of the tennis media to downplay the competition. This invariably entails picking select players and using their unique circumstances to reach the conclusion that the competition no longer has significance or importance. In the case of Wertheim there is usually a focus on how everything relates to the state of US tennis, due to his readership likely being predominantly from the US, rather than giving full acknowledgement to how the competition is viewed by players and fans alike in the rest of the world. The world is a pretty big place.
Why does it matter that Wertheim continues to make claims of this nature to his readership? Well, SI.com has a readership of more than 20 million unique visitors per month. If you don't believe me, that's what they say here. Given those numbers alone his opinion, no matter how misinformed and misguided, carries influence far beyond anything this post will be able to reach out to. However, that doesn't mean we shouldn't at least try and correct a few things.
Below is a screenshot of his latest response re: Davis Cup to a question posed by a reader. We will go through this, both the question and the answer, to balance out some of the inaccuracies and assumptions made.
The screenshot was taken from this piece if you would like to view the entire mailbag.
Let's begin with Ralph Jackson for a quick moment, a tennis fan who follows tennis "very well" in his estimation, but not so well that he hasn't understood that Davis Cup (and Fed Cup) are not in fact "never-ending tournaments with no declared winner". In the photo accompanying this post you will see a picture of the 2013 Davis Cup finalists - Serbia and Czech Republic - planted nicely on to the latest cover issue of Sports Illustrated. The Czechs would go on to win the final in Serbia, in case you're reading this, Ralph. Italy won the Fed Cup last year, it was far from "never-ending" rather it ended at the conclusion of the season. It was fairly entertaining given how depleted the Russian team ended up being for a variety of reasons, at least Flavia Pennetta made it so.
We're done with Ralph at this point and it's time to move on to Wertheim's response which we'll breakdown piece by piece.
Wertheim mentions he received quite a response to his last mailbag on the subject, both in the mailbag and on Twitter. The Overrule happened to be one of those who responded through Twitter. The Overrule questioned Wertheim's comment that Davis Cup is no longer relevant in the US and Western Europe. For the US this may be true as the team is not what it once was and the days of the US being a regular contender to win the Davis Cup are well and truly over for the foreseeable future. As for Western Europe his comment was completely inaccurate. You will know this by watching any home tie hosted by a Western European country, the stadium full (if not sold out at least well populated) and the atmosphere electric. His response was merely to reiterate his view that Davis Cup is no longer a "vital sports organism".
Wertheim posts a link which shows Davis Cup participation is respectable (it's more than respectable when you actually break it down) which countered his view that top players don't play often or a feeling to that effect. He does it as if it's somehow breaking news to anyone who might follow Davis Cup for even 5 minutes of the year. Davis Cup is important to many players, the best ones and the ones the tennis world doesn't consider the best. There are many reasons beyond willingness to play that determine participation levels of the top players, if we are to only focus on them for the sake of this post. For example scheduling, injury and politics. To ignore these elements discredits any view on the subject of participation. They would only be ignored by someone hoping a readership, that includes tennis fans who follow the sport "very well" but not well enough to realise how Davis Cup works or whether it ever ends, wouldn't know any better to question the merits of such a statement. It's factually incorrect to claim top players don't play Davis Cup often. This claim has been made many times by major tennis news outlets and it is never backed up with facts and figures or at the very least context.
Wertheim writes "I still can't see how anyone claims that the Davis Cup is a healthy, vital sports organism." I could provide many examples of how such a claim can be made, such as the passion exhibited by the players when in Davis Cup action, in some cases clearly playing above themselves with their nation and teammates behind them. As well as the matched passion on show by a full crowd of supporters. If we asked Novak Djokovic, Rafael Nadal or the recently retired David Nalbandian how much it means to them to represent their nation in Davis Cup, what do you suspect the honest answer would be? We all know (by "we" I mean tennis fans who follow the sport "very well" but actually watch and understand Davis Cup) what the answer would be and it would contradict Wertheim's entire viewpoint.
Allow me to provide some viewing evidence to back the claim that the Davis Cup is in fact a healthy, vital sports organism. I could have provided many pieces of footage but I won't overload the post with the links, instead I'll just post two. Watch both videos of the closing stages of the 2011 Davis Cup final between Spain and Argentina played in Spain. This particular match involves Rafael Nadal and Juan Martin del Potro (more on both shortly). After you watch tell me that the players and fans don't think the Davis Cup is a "healthy, vital sports organism". Ask yourself where and when you've ever seen a tennis atmosphere like this before outside of Davis Cup? I could have chosen any final to post, I decided to go with just one, this one is no different to any other. I chose this one given the players involved and for purposes of the next point to be made.
Wertheim then plays what I suspect he believes is his trump card in Roger Federer, Rafael Nadal and Juan Martin del Potro. Quite laughable I'm guessing you're thinking right now having just watched the two videos above? It gets better. He states that Federer hasn't missed a Grand Slam since the 1990s (not in the slightest bit relevant quite honestly) and yet only plays Davis Cup sporadically. Federer is a unique case in many respects. He made a decision to play less Davis Cup as to not interfere with his quite obvious and understandable number one priority which is to prepare himself as best he could for Grand Slams. During the time Federer made this choice Switzerland did not have a great team around him and he was often expected to win both singles rubbers and contribute more than his share to win the doubles. That's quite a task against some of the best teams in the world, ask Nalbandian who regularly had to take on such duties during his many years representing Argentina despite having top 20 players around him in the squad. For the record Federer has played in 23 ties since 1999 totaling 40 singles matches and 19 doubles matches. 2010 and 2013 were the only years where Federer didn't participate in Davis Cup since 1999. Is he a Davis Cup stalwart like a Nalbandian or a Lleyton Hewitt? No. However, his participation probably deserves more respect than to simply say "sporadic". And for context to be provided as to why he hadn't played as much as he possibly could have.
Now let's see what Wertheim said about Nadal. According to him Nadal was "once a stalwart; more recently, he has lost his zeal". Let's take a closer look at "more recently". For arguments sake let's define "more recently" as the past three years, that seems fair? This year Nadal did not play the first round tie against Germany (which Spain lost) as he was injured following the Australian Open final. In 2013 Nadal did not play the first round tie against Canada as he was injured (during a period he was out of tennis for seven months). Later in 2013 when the playoff came to keep Spain in the World Group who showed up for Spain? Nadal. Not only did he win his singles rubber on the Friday he played the doubles on the Saturday to help kill off the tie. In 2012 Nadal had made it clear he would not play Davis Cup that year as it was an Olympics year and he wanted to prepare himself for London 2012. Unfortunately injury robbed Nadal of this chance to represent Spain at the Olympics and we were not to see him on tour for a further seven months. At this point are you noticing a trend? Far from "lack of zeal", injury/Olympics has been the predominant factor in Nadal's absences. In 2011 Spain won the Davis Cup and Nadal played the first round, semi-final and final (footage of which you've now seen). To conclude, 2011 he was an integral part of the team, 2012 he focused on Olympics and ended up being injured, 2013 he was injured but played the playoff when he returned and 2014 he was injured. Are we still going with "lost his zeal" or have we re-evaluated the true situation at this point, Jon?
Finally let us get on to del Potro, this assessment by Wertheim is perhaps the most frustrating of all. He states that del Potro is "uninterested" in playing Davis Cup and links a piece regarding the situation. To simply say "uninterested" misrepresents the scenario del Potro finds himself in, although at least by linking a piece that reflects that scenario Wertheim isn't 100% fudging the truth. Del Potro has long been in a dispute with the AAT that dates back to the end of the 2012 Davis Cup campaign. In 2013 he chose to remove himself from the pressures of fans and media to play Davis Cup by stating from the start of the season he would not play. His refusal to play has nothing to do with an unwillingness to represent Argentina and everything to do with internal politics. The Argentina team and internal politics have been used in the same sentence long before del Potro was even a professional, just ask Guillermo Coria and Gaston Gaudio. The fact Wertheim attempts to use del Potro to further back up his claims is weak to say the least. And far from help to back him up they just further discredit his opinion for the reasons stated.
I've done what I can to counter some of his points and expose the truth behind the reality of Davis Cup and its participation and meaningfulness among players and fans alike. You can believe the facts or you can believe the guy with 20 million readers, it's up to you.
Season performance - Stake: 36.00 Profit/Loss: +8.82 ROI: 24.50% The Overrule will be moving on to ATP Delray Beach, Marseille and Rio next week as well as WTA Dubai and Rio. Details on how to join The Overrule from March will be available towards the end of February.
Season performance - Stake: 29.50 Profit/Loss: +5.34 ROI: 18.60% The Overrule will be moving on to ATP Buenos Aires, Memphis and Rotterdam next week as well as WTA Doha. Details on how to join The Overrule from March will be available towards the end of February. Breakdown numbers for how The Overrule has fared during its existence before this past week can be found here.
Since The Overrule's inception 6 years ago through syndication here's a breakdown of the numbers and profits subscribers have tasted. The Overrule took a year off in 2012 and returned in 2013 free of syndication to the place we are today tailored to the needs of individual subscribers.
In total from inception up to and including last week's results in Paris/Pattaya against general best price;
Generally an ROI of 5% over a season in tennis is considered a desirable return but The Overrule is returning over double that return over a number of years with consistency each year. A £100 per point bettor (The Overrule's maximum advised stake on a single selection is 5 points or £500 and on average 2.57 points or £257) has profited to the tune of £21,253 since The Overrule's inception.
Since 2013 The Overrule has also been tracking and advising selections with Pinnacle users in mind for those bettors who have been restricted at traditional bookmakers for past success. During that time here are the numbers on how The Overrule has fared on match-bets against Pinnacle since the 2013 season up to and including last week's results in Paris/Pattaya;
A £100 per point bettor has profited to the tune of £3169 on match-bets alone against Pinnacle using The Overrule's selections since the start of 2013. And this season those portfolio of match-bets will increase for 2014 season subscribers.
For full details of how The Overrule performed in 2013, check out the season review.
There are only a couple of days left to join The Overrule from February onward for the remainder of the season, details on how to subscribe and the structure of the service can be found here. The Overrule has subscribers from the UK, US, Canada and Australia and is one of few services that offers a money back guarantee and a regular personalised service on a daily basis throughout the season.
Season performance - Stake: 27.50 Profit/Loss: +7.34 ROI: 26.69%
The Overrule will be moving on to ATP Montpellier, Vina del Mar and Zagreb next week as well as Fed Cup action. Details of how to join The Overrule from February can be found here.
