Monday, 25 February 2013

WTA Florianopolis

Kristina Mladenovic has already shot up the rankings this season and she appears overpriced for a good run on the purple hard courts in Brazil. Mladenovic has already moved up 40 spots in the rankings this year in large part thanks to a semi-final appearance in Paris (where she defeated Petra Kvitova in straight sets) and a quarter-final showing in Memphis.

Yaroslava Shvedova is as short as 7/2 for tournament success in Florianopolis but hasn't shown any form this season and is placed in Mladenovic's quarter. Venus Williams is tournament favourite and number one seed at 7/4.

Another player in the same half of the draw - Valeria Savinykh - is absurdly overpriced in The Overrule's view at a massive 100/1! Savinykh has quickly gained the tag of "Baby Bepa" for her many similarities in game style and mannerisms to Vera Zvonareva and her odds are not a true reflection of her capabilities.

Savinykh came through qualifying at the Australian Open to reach the third round and beat Dominika Cibulkova along the way. She begins her campaign in Brazil against Timea Babos where she is a marginal favorite to win. Savinykh would then be the underdog in her remaining matches if seedings play out, but at 100/1 we are clearly obtaining a huge chunk of value.

The Overrule will back both Mladenovic and Savinykh in the outright each-way market even though both players are in the same half of the draw and could meet in the last four. One point each-way on Mladenovic at 16/1 to win the tournament and 8/1 to reach the final. Half a point on Savinykh at 100/1 to win the tournament and 50/1 to reach the final.

1* Kristina Mladenovic win Florianopolis (each-way) @ 16/1 (Betfred) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)

0.5* Valeria Savinykh win Florianopolis (each-way) @ 100/1 (Betfred) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)

Sunday, 24 February 2013

Weekly Overview (5)

This week's breakdown below;

Lesia Tsurenko made a mockery of her 2/1 price to beat Kirsten Flipkens in Memphis. Tsurenko went into the third set with the ascendancy but couldn't get ahead and eventually lost out in the decider. Petra Kvitova was a great price for The Overrule at 11/10 to beat Agnieszka Radwanska but shockingly drifted to bigger than 2/1 just before play got underway. Whatever cause there was for such a drift proved to be completely unfounded as Kvitova obliterated Radwanska with a devastating exhibition of power and precision.

Sam Querrey lost early in Memphis to Marinko Matosevic in the second round despite leading by a break in the deciding set. Tomas Berdych reached the final in Marseille and had a match point in the second set tie-break. However, Jo-Wilfried Tsonga boomed down an ace to save match point and eventually prevailed 6-4 in the decider.

Here's our weekly breakdown and season numbers thus far;

Weekly performance - Stake: 8.00 Profit/Loss: -0.80 ROI: -10.00%

Season performance - Stake: 100.00 Profit/Loss: +59.91 ROI: 59.91%

ATP Delray Beach

The Overrule backed Sam Querrey each-way this week in Memphis and despite his earlier than anticipated exit we're happy to back him again in Delray Beach. On paper the draw is quite negotiable for the American and his price is even bigger than last week.

Querrey meets Michael Russell in first round action before an encounter with either James Blake or a qualifier. In the last eight he could meet Xavier Malisse - who first made the Delray Beach final in 1999 and has since won the event twice and reached two other finals. Querrey is 3-0 against Malisse lifetime. In the semi-finals Querrey is seeded to meet Tommy Haas, but since the German pulled out of Memphis prior to the event, it's hard to justify backing him at 13/2 with that unknown to factor in.

The tournament favorite, Kei Nishikori, takes his place in the top half of the draw and plays in the Memphis final later today.

The Overrule will place one point each-way on Querrey, which means one point at 14/1 to win the title and one point at 7/1 to reach the final.

1* Sam Querrey win Delray Beach (each-way) @ 14/1 (Stan James) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)

Thursday, 21 February 2013

WTA Dubai

The unsurprising withdrawals of Victoria Azarenka and Serena Williams from Dubai and the absence of Maria Sharapova have propelled Petra Kvitova to the top of the talking points on the WTA Tour for the week. The question being - is Petra back? Kvitova showed signs of life in Doha last week, both in a comeback win against Nadia Petrova and by giving Serena all she could handle.

As many of you know I'm a huge admirer of Petra's potential which is boundless. Only Serena can claim to be as or more naturally talented than Kvitova of the players currently on tour in my view. Harnessing that talent is a different problem altogether, a problem Petra has been struggling mightily with for the majority of the past 12 months.

Kvitova is priced up 11/10 to beat defending Dubai champion Agnieszka Radwanska and with court conditions fast and Petra serving closer to her usual standard that price is inflated to The Overrule. Sportingbet have the encounter at 5/6 a piece and that is more realistic. Radwanska was made to work very hard by Yulia Putintseva despite her straight sets win and Kvitova has the ability - if on form - to wipe Aga away on a court like this.

I decided to steer clear of Petra after Paris until she showed signs she has recovered herself and although I'm not convinced at all that she is all the way back, I'm happy with this price for this one off match to take a run at it. Kvitova leads the head to head 3-1 with her only defeat coming in last year's year end championship in Istanbul where Petra was suffering with bronchitis and withdrew from the event the next day.

As always on The Overrule we only look to match-bet with books that void retirements at any stage of the match. Fortunately on this occasion the best price on offer is with a book that voids in such circumstances.

2* Petra Kvitova beat Agnieszka Radwanska @ 11/10 (Bet 365)

Wednesday, 20 February 2013

WTA Memphis

Kirsten Flipkens and Lesia Tsurenko meet in second round action in Memphis where The Overrule believes the Ukrainian is significantly overpriced. Both players have had good starts to their respective seasons with the Belgian reaching a quarter-final, semi-final and fourth round at the Australian Open. Tsurenko took advantage of being a lucky loser in Brisbane to reach the semi-finals and advanced to the third round of the Australian Open as a qualifier.

Both players lost out in the only Fed Cup rubber they played with both matches being on clay before entering Memphis. Tsurenko and Flipkens both took care of their first round matches with minimum fuss. The Overrule definitely feels like Lesia is being undervalued here and Kirsten doesn't deserve this level of favoritism. I have the match far closer at Lesia's 5/4 to 4/7 on Flipkens, so the 2/1 is a huge price for us.

The Overrule will back Tsurenko with a two point selection in a match that doesn't appear to me to be as straight forward as the odds suggest.

2* Lesia Tsurenko beat Kirsten Flipkens @ 2/1 (Bet 365)

Monday, 18 February 2013

Weekly Overview (4)

Here's a breakdown of the week gone by.

Caroline Wozniacki provided us with five points as she defeated Mona Barthel in straight sets priced as an underdog, whereas we had her priced as a pick 'em at worst. Victoria Azarenka gave us nine points by defending her title in Doha. Elina Svitolina made a mockery of her price by reaching the last four without dropping a set. In the end she lost in the semi-finals as the shortest match price she had been all week against Catalina Castano. That defeat cost us four points when we were on the verge of some potentially huge gains.

Juan Martin del Potro cruised to the title in Rotterdam, aided by the early exit of Roger Federer. That triumph netted us twelve points. Nicolas Almagro lost out to David Nalbandian in a deciding set tie-breaker in the last eight costing us one point. Tommy Haas made serene progress to the final in San Jose but was beaten fairly comfortably by Milos Raonic. That place in the final resulted in a four point gain.

Weekly performance - Stake: 19.00 Profit/Loss: +25.00 ROI: 131.58%

Season performance - Stake: 92.00 Profit/Loss: +60.71 ROI: 65.99%

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Sunday, 17 February 2013

ATP Marseille

Tomas Berdych has been able to recharge his batteries over the past couple of weeks after his Davis Cup exploits in Switzerland. The Czech pulled out of Montpellier shortly after the tie where he was scheduled to be number one seed. That tie included a marathon doubles match and Berdych will be hoping for a far smoother time of it in Marseille.

Juan Martin del Potro is number two seed for the event and justifies his favoritism at 11/4 to defend the title he won last year. Del Potro is coming in off the back of a title in Rotterdam and has every chance of taking a back to back title in France.

However, it's Berdych's price of 4/1 that appeals to The Overrule. After a first round bye he'll meet either Jarkko Nieminen or Ernests Gulbis. Janko Tipsarevic or Richard Gasquet may await in the last four. The indoor conditions will suit Berdych very nicely and we'll be backing him with one point each-way, meaning one point at 4/1 to win the title and one point at 2/1 to reach the final.

1* Tomas Berdych win Marseille (each-way) @ 4/1 (Sky Bet) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)

ATP Memphis

Sam Querrey reached the semi-finals in San Jose this week and he'll look to improve on that performance in Memphis next week. The big serving American is a former winner in Memphis (2010) and has reached the last eight on four occasions.

Drawn in the top half of the draw Querrey has avoided Milos Raonic, John Isner and Tommy Haas who take their places in the bottom half. Querrey should negotiate his first couple of matches without too much trouble, he starts off with Alejandro Falla, and could meet Alexandr Dolgopolov in the last eight. Marin Cilic or Kei Nishikori look likely to await in the last four. 

At 12/1 Querrey appears to be a fair bit overpriced according to The Overrule. A one point each-way selection, meaning one point at 12/1 for the title and one point at 6/1 to reach the final. 

1* Sam Querrey win Memphis (each-way) @ 12/1 (Victor Chandler) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)

Friday, 15 February 2013

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Thursday, 14 February 2013

WTA Doha (II)

Mona Barthel is in a rich vein of form having won the indoor title in Paris and off the back of two convincing victories in Doha against Yulia Putintseva and Angelique Kerber. However, aside from the fact Kerber wasn't nearly 100% healthy in her match with German compatriot Barthel, there is little justification at this point for Mona to be priced up as a favourite against Caroline Wozniacki.

If Barthel's A-game is on, she has the weapons to brush Caro aside, but let's not pretend that Mona has reached a stage in her development where she can be expected to perform like that at will. Many of us have long expected big strides from Barthel over the past year or so and she is certainly showing encouraging signs, but 4/7 to beat Wozniacki is ludicrous to The Overrule.

Wozniacki came through a tough first set with Sorana Cirstea in the last round in which she saved multiple set points in the first set tie-breaker before storming away in the second set as Sorana - for the umpteenth time in her career - imploded.

The Dane who has a body that commentator Jason Goodall is extremely fond of according to his commentary in the last round is a very good price for us at 5/4. We'll be happy to place a near maximum selection of four points on her to extend her head to head with Barthel to 3-0.

At worst I would imagine this price to represent trading material for those of you who like to lock in a profit in-play when the opportunity arises. Caro should at worst be a pick 'em in this encounter, but more like 8/11 in my view, as Mona hasn't shown consistency in match-ups like this during the early stages of her career thus far.

As always on The Overrule we prefer to back match-bets with void books and happily on this occasion the best price is with a void book.

4* Caroline Wozniacki beat Mona Barthel @ 5/4 (Paddy Power)

Monday, 11 February 2013

WTA Doha

If you were missing women's Grand Slam action then Doha is just the medicine you need as all but Li Na of the world's top 10 have made their way to Qatar. The draw couldn't have worked out better for defending champion and world number one Victoria Azarenka as she has avoided all of the few names who could have seriously troubled her before the final.

Betfred have Azarenka at 3/1 for the tournament and with the each-way terms 6/4 to reach the final. That 6/4 looks big given her route to the final and it's only against Serena Williams who Azarenka wouldn't be favourite against in the final, so 3/1 each-way seems very appealing.

The bottom half of the draw is where 6/4 favourite Serena resides and although Serena always justifies favouritism in The Overrule's view given that we believe she is the greatest female tennis player of all time, that price does appear skinny given she will probably have to come through Petra Kvitova, Maria Sharapova and Azarenka to win the tournament. Add to that we don't know how well she has recovered from the injuries she picked up in Melbourne.

It's not that an on-form Serena would have any trouble defeating an out of sorts Kvitova or a Sharapova who she has dominated mercilessly or an Azarenka who she has a stranglehold over lifetime. It's that we don't quite know how good a shape she is in or how well she is moving to justify taking 6/4 on a draw which has presented her with the potential of some of the stiffest challenges she could likely receive.

Serena beating Azarenka in the final is the most likely outcome in Doha, but as far as pricing goes Azarenka is the each-way play. The Overrule will back two points each-way on Azarenka, meaning two points at 3/1 to win the title and two points at 6/4 to reach the final.

2* Victoria Azarenka win Doha (each-way) @ 3/1 (Betfred) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)

WTA Cali

Elina Svitolina is a young player on the rise and the Ukrainian is massively overpriced in The Overrule's estimation for the clay court event in Cali. The field in Colombia is decidedly weak with Mandy Minella the number one seed. If Minella was number one seed in a sexiest WTA player list it would make alot of sense, but for an actual event it tells us that the quality of the field is not particularly high.

Svitolina should be priced more in the 6/1 range or even 8/1 if you wanted to be generous and oppose her, so for 12/1 to be available is a price we have to take advantage of. Elina has a tricky first round encounter with Anastasija Sevastova who has fallen just outside the world's top 150 due to injury and is much better than her ranking suggests.

Should Svitolina overcome that hurdle she immediately becomes the favourite to reach the final from the top half of the draw in my eyes, where she is slated to meet Minella in the last eight, whom she happens to be playing doubles with this week in Cali.

We'll back Svitolina with two points each way, which means two points at 12/1 to win the title and two points at 6/1 to reach the final.

2* Elina Svitolina win Cali (each-way) @ 12/1 (Betfred) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)

Sunday, 10 February 2013

Weekly Overview (3)

Once again we stuck to our outright selections from the start of the week and that proved profitable - here's a breakdown of the week gone by.

Gael Monfils lost out in three sets to eventual champion Richard Gasquet in Montpellier, while Michael Llodra lost out in the last four to Benoit Paire as a pre-match favourite having also taken the opening set. Marin Cilic claimed his third Zagreb title and was rarely troubled along the way with only Mikhail Youzhny forcing him into a decider. Youzhny wasn't 100% from early in the second set and that may well have proven to be the deciding factor in Cilic's victory. The Croatian dispatched Jurgen Melzer in the final with minimum fuss and fully justified our pre-tournament faith in him with a near maximum four point selection.

Weekly performance - Stake: 6.00 Profit/Loss: +8.00 ROI: 133.33%

Season performance - Stake: 73.00 Profit/Loss: +35.71 ROI: 48.92%

The Overrule has already provided articles/selections for the coming week's ATP events with the WTA events in Doha and Cali to follow once pricing is available - which may be later this evening or tomorrow. 

ATP San Jose

If you like lots of aces and short points this is the tournament for you as Milos Raonic attempts to win this event for the third successive occasion. Raonic is deservedly priced up as favourite in San Jose, but in tournaments where only a few key points are likely to decide the critical matches at the end of the week, I prefer to look for the bigger priced players who have more than a fair chance of being involved in the mix.

The Overrule likes the look of Tommy Haas at 10/1 in San Jose. The German will be making his eighth appearance at the event where his best performance was a semi-finalist in 2005 against Andy Roddick. Haas hasn't played the tournament since 2010 and may meet either Fernando Verdasco or Ivo Karlovic in the last eight before a likely semi-final with John Isner.

Raonic and Isner are both priced too short for my liking given the fact matches from the last eight onwards will be settled on minor details and key points. Sam Querrey at 7/1 appeals slightly in the top half of the draw, but we're happy to go with one point each-way on Haas at 10/1. If the German serves well, he has the tools to carve out those crucial points that may make the difference on return in likely tie-breakers.

1* Tommy Haas win San Jose (each-way) @ 10/1 (Victor Chandler) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)

ATP Sao Paulo

We wondered what price Rafael Nadal would go off at last week at Vina del Mar - the answer was 4/7. Nadal is due to capture a first title in his first tournament back on tour this evening in Chile and Victor Chandler are taking no chances on Nadal in Brazil. As it happens, the field in Sao Paulo is slightly tougher than what was on show in Chile with Nicolas Almagro and David Nalbandian both playing in Brazil.

However, both players are in the opposite half of the draw to Nadal - who will be playing doubles with Nalbandian in Sao Paulo - and Victor Chandler offer a paltry 1/4 on a successive Nadal clay court title. Shortening up Nadal to that level has beefed up Almagro's price higher than I expected it to be and makes him a viable each-way selection.

Almagro is the defending champion in Sao Paulo and he will present Nadal with his first meaningful test back on tour in a prospective final. Nico has a first round bye followed by possible meetings with Vina del Mar finalist Horacio Zeballos, one of Nalbandian or Fabio Fognini in the last eight and Pico Monaco in the last four.

Should Almagro reach the final against Nadal he should be able to make the match far more competitive than anyone else has against Rafa thus far and that 13/2 will look awfully big.

1* Nicolas Almagro win Sao Paulo @ 13/2 (Victor Chandler)

ATP Rotterdam

Tennis has an interesting symmetry about it sometimes and that may well prove to be the case for Juan Martin del Potro in Rotterdam this year. Last season the Argentine met a French opponent in the first round (Michael Llodra) and reached the final against Roger Federer. This season del Potro will meet another French opponent in the first round (Gael Monfils) and looks on course for another final meeting with Federer.

Federer got the better of del Potro last year, but we'll be hoping the roles might be reversed this time around. Jo-Wilfried Tsonga has landed in Federer's half of the draw while Richard Gasquet - who today triumphed in Montpellier - could meet del Potro in the last four.

It's quite possible del Potro's first round encounter with Monfils will be his toughest match before a prospective final. The Overrule is fairly confident of at least another final appearance for the world number seven and we'll back him with two points each-way at 4/1. That's two points at 4/1 for the title and two points at 2/1 to reach the final. Boylesports have a bigger win price available at 9/2, but their each-way terms are one-third of the odds rather than the halve terms on offer with Coral. For that reason we will go with Coral's price on this occasion.

2* Juan Martin del Potro win Rotterdam (each-way) @ 4/1 (Coral) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)

Friday, 8 February 2013

Fed Cup

For the past nine years the Czech Republic, Italy and Russia have dominated Fed Cup action and The Overrule believes that stranglehold will continue into its tenth year. Led by Petra Kvitova and Lucie Safarova along with the doubles tandem of Lucie Hradecka and Andrea Hlavackova the Czechs are in search of their third successive Fed Cup title. At 5/1 they appear overpriced to do so with a number of books with Stan James at a more realistic 7/2.

Let's take a look at this year's draw with Fed Cup action in the world group beginning tomorrow.

Russia justify their tag as favourites and should come out of the bottom half of the draw and may well be further strengthened in the latter stages if Maria Sharapova is available to play. After winning four titles in five years between 2004 and 2008, it's strange to think that Russia have only been to one final since with such a dearth of talent at their disposal. That should change this year, but it's the top half of the draw where our focus lies.

The Czechs are 2/7 to see off Australia at home (as short as 1/5) in first round action, as always the Czechs are choosing to play indoors on hard where they have had outstanding success as a team in the past couple of years. The tie isn't as clear cut as the odds suggest, Kvitova is in anything but imperious form, Safarova hasn't come close to hitting the heights she did in last season's Fed Cup final and Hradecka hasn't been fully fit this year.

That being said, Australia will need Sam Stosur to have an incredible weekend, most likely having to win both singles matches along with victory in doubles in order to oust the Czechs on home soil. Even if the Czech team isn't yet firing on all cylinders, they should have more than enough to see out the tie.

Italy should prevail on clay against an injury decimated USA which would mean that the Czechs travel to Italy for a semi-final in April on clay. The Czechs beat Italy in last year's competition without losing a set before the tie was officially over, but things will be alot tighter on clay. The books are suggesting Italy will be favourites to go through a prospective match-up, but I disagree. The tie is 50/50. Sara Errani, Roberta Vinci and Flavia Pennetta (who should be back playing by semi-final time) have good pedigree on clay, but if any book is offering evens or greater on a full strength Czech team winning in Italy - the value will certainly be on the Czechs.

A prospective final with Russia would be played at home for the Czechs, and once again providing both nations have a full arsenal at their disposal, it will be hard to split them in the pricing. That final is nine months away so it's impossible to speculate at this point how they would match-up, who is in form and who is unavailable through injury.

In totality The Overrule believes a price in the region of 16/5 based on the hardest route possible is a fairer assessment of a third successive Czech title. The Overrule will happily place a couple of points at an inflated 5/1.

Don't be surprised to see Safarova and Hlavackova celebrating like this in 2013 like they were in 2012.

2* Czech Republic win Fed Cup @ 5/1 (Coral)

Tuesday, 5 February 2013

ATP Zagreb

Normally I don't like to back a favourite coming into an event off Davis Cup duty where he was playing on a different surface, but The Overrule will make an exception in the case of Marin Cilic in Zagreb. The draw is very weak and Cilic has won the event twice before and won't have to play until Wednesday, by which time he should have sufficiently recovered from playing for Croatia on clay in Italy at the weekend.

Cilic can more than justify his price of 5/2 and his biggest tests before the final are likely to come from Marcos Baghdatis and one of Mikhail Youzhny or Grigor Dimitrov. Youzhny and Cilic have had some very competitive matches in the past, but the Russian is no longer at the peak of his powers and Cilic has to like his chances of a third Zagreb title this week. The Overrule is happy to lay out four points on a Cilic triumph amongst a field that doesn't really capture the imagination of the average fan. 

4* Marin Cilic win Zagreb @ 5/2 (William Hill)

ATP Montpellier

The Montpellier draw has been shaken up a little by the withdrawal of number one seed Tomas Berdych - who is no doubt exhausted after his Davis Cup exploits at the weekend. Nikolay Davydenko takes the Czech's place at the top of the draw, but it's 12/1 shot and 2010 Montpellier winner Gael Monfils who takes our eye as an each-way selection.

Monfils is likely to face tournament favourite Richard Gasquet in the second round, but I fail to see why Gasquet should be as short as 3/1 to win the event, while Monfils is at 12/1. Monfils's price is likely to be cut in half, or even further should he find a way to oust Gasquet who he has a winning 2-1 head to head with indoors. We'll place half a point each-way on Gael for a total outlay of one point.

0.5* Gael Monfils win Montpellier (each-way) @ 12/1 (Boylesports) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)

Michael Llodra has always been a tricky customer to deal with indoors and as with Monfils, his price of 12/1 appeals as an each-way selection. The biggest test in Llodra's draw will come early in the second round against Janko Tipsarevic, but if he can make his way into the last eight his price will also come tumbling down. 

Llodra defeated Tipsarevic indoors last season in Marseille and given the Serbian will be playing his first match of the event against the lefty, it could prove to be an uncomfortable opening encounter and we're happy to outlay the same stake at the same price on Llodra in the bottom half as we are with Monfils in the top half. 

0.5* Michael Llodra win Montpellier (each-way) @ 12/1 (Bet 365) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)

ATP Vina del Mar

The tennis week will be dominated by the return to the tour of Rafael Nadal and we'd be remiss on The Overrule not to touch on the Spaniard's return. Over the past few weeks I've been trying to decipher how I would price up Rafa's return, initially my belief was 1/2. Over the weekend, once the draw was available, I brought that into 4/11 as the field for Vina del Mar is particularly poor, which highlights the lack of depth in men's clay court tennis at present - but that's another subject entirely.

In the end the variance in price was quite significant between the books, Nadal was as short as 2/7 and yet as big as 4/7. That 4/7 has since been punched into 4/9. I expect Rafa to win this tournament without dropping a set, but it's hard to justify backing him when we have no idea how healthy he really is.

The fact that he has revealed he still has some discomfort is troubling and the greatest danger to him winning the event is having to pull out at some point as a precaution. Pico Monaco should reach the final from the bottom half of the draw, and the two are playing doubles together, also. Monaco is used to carrying Nadal on Playstation, but the situation is likely to be reversed on the doubles court.

Monaco was a backable each-way for me at 6/1, but that price is no longer available, and with the each-way terms for Vina del Mar being 1/3 of the odds, I'm not satisfied with the lower price on offer.

We advise no outright selections for Vina del Mar as it stands, but we'll be watching with interest.

Sunday, 3 February 2013

Weekly Overview (2)

There wasn't that much scope for match-bets during the week as far as The Overrule was concerned, so we allowed our outright selections to reach their conclusion which proved profitable for us. Here's a breakdown of what we did.

Sofia Arvidsson couldn't overcome illness and Alize Cornet in first round action in Paris which took our 50/1 each-way selection out of contention. The story of the week in Paris was dominated by the further slide of Petra Kvitova. This was a perfect opportunity for Kvitova to gain confidence playing in conditions that are optimal against opposition that she is superior to. However, Petra could only go 1-1 in Paris and her serve was atrocious. This is a hugely worrying sign for the former Wimbledon champion.

Given this latest failure, we cannot consider to back Petra again until a time where she proves she is back on the right track with form and results. There will be times where she is technically overpriced in the coming weeks, but unfortunately Petra doesn't deserve our trust and more importantly our money in the near future.

Maria Kirilenko delivered the title in Pattaya after blowing a commanding lead against Sabine Lisicki in the final. Kirilenko led 5-2 in the deciding set and had two match points on Sabine's serve, but soon found herself 6-5 down and needing to break to stay in the match. Makiri went on to win 11 of the last 12 points in the match to break to love and win the tie-break 7-1.

Weekly performance - Stake: 6.00 Profit/Loss: +5.00 ROI: 83.33%

Season performance - Stake: 67.00 Profit/Loss: +27.71 ROI: 41.36%

Soon The Overrule will have write-ups for ATP action in Montpellier, Zagreb and Vina del Mar where the much awaited return to the tour of Rafael Nadal will dominate the news for the entire week.