Normally I don't like to back a favourite coming into an event off Davis Cup duty where he was playing on a different surface, but The Overrule will make an exception in the case of Marin Cilic in Zagreb. The draw is very weak and Cilic has won the event twice before and won't have to play until Wednesday, by which time he should have sufficiently recovered from playing for Croatia on clay in Italy at the weekend.
Cilic can more than justify his price of 5/2 and his biggest tests before the final are likely to come from Marcos Baghdatis and one of Mikhail Youzhny or Grigor Dimitrov. Youzhny and Cilic have had some very competitive matches in the past, but the Russian is no longer at the peak of his powers and Cilic has to like his chances of a third Zagreb title this week. The Overrule is happy to lay out four points on a Cilic triumph amongst a field that doesn't really capture the imagination of the average fan.
4* Marin Cilic win Zagreb @ 5/2 (William Hill)