Thursday, 14 February 2013

WTA Doha (II)

Mona Barthel is in a rich vein of form having won the indoor title in Paris and off the back of two convincing victories in Doha against Yulia Putintseva and Angelique Kerber. However, aside from the fact Kerber wasn't nearly 100% healthy in her match with German compatriot Barthel, there is little justification at this point for Mona to be priced up as a favourite against Caroline Wozniacki.

If Barthel's A-game is on, she has the weapons to brush Caro aside, but let's not pretend that Mona has reached a stage in her development where she can be expected to perform like that at will. Many of us have long expected big strides from Barthel over the past year or so and she is certainly showing encouraging signs, but 4/7 to beat Wozniacki is ludicrous to The Overrule.

Wozniacki came through a tough first set with Sorana Cirstea in the last round in which she saved multiple set points in the first set tie-breaker before storming away in the second set as Sorana - for the umpteenth time in her career - imploded.

The Dane who has a body that commentator Jason Goodall is extremely fond of according to his commentary in the last round is a very good price for us at 5/4. We'll be happy to place a near maximum selection of four points on her to extend her head to head with Barthel to 3-0.

At worst I would imagine this price to represent trading material for those of you who like to lock in a profit in-play when the opportunity arises. Caro should at worst be a pick 'em in this encounter, but more like 8/11 in my view, as Mona hasn't shown consistency in match-ups like this during the early stages of her career thus far.

As always on The Overrule we prefer to back match-bets with void books and happily on this occasion the best price is with a void book.

4* Caroline Wozniacki beat Mona Barthel @ 5/4 (Paddy Power)

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