Saturday, 28 December 2013

Ranking Quotes

The new season is here and with that comes an extensive list of ranking quotes from Unibet who continue to be the only company willing to price and line up a wide range of players. In 2013 The Overrule was successful on quotes involving Mona Barthel and Eugenie Bouchard.

If you've been thinking about dabbling in the rankings market for the 2014 season here are a few options The Overrule believes you should consider.

Tomas Berdych

Unibet have set Berdych's line at 7.5 for 2014 and he finished the 2013 season comfortably in 7th spot. The Czech has finished inside the world's top 7 every year since 2010 and has long positioned himself as one of those tier II players knocking on the door of the very elite of the game but having yet failed to capture a first Grand Slam title.

Berdych experienced Davis Cup success again in 2013 defending the title he and Radek Stepanek won in 2012. That happened to be the only occasion in 2013 that Berdych lifted a trophy as he surprisingly went the whole season without capturing an individual title. After a promising first half of the season with a quarter-final showing at the Australian Open (losing to eventual champion Novak Djokovic), two finals in Marseille (losing to Jo-Wilfried Tsonga) and Dubai (Djokovic) and three semi-final appearances in Masters events at Indian Wells, Madrid and Rome things never took off for Berdych in the form of titles.

Djokovic ousted him again in the last eight of a Grand Slam at Wimbledon and Stanislas Wawrinka ended his tournament in the fourth round of the US Open. A first round loss to Gael Monfils at the French Open means there is plenty of scope there for him to gain some decent ranking points at Roland Garros in 2014.

A third defeat in a final came in Bangkok where he was beaten by Milos Raonic and he reached a fourth Masters semi-final of the season in Cincinnati before the US Open. All in all there was a fair amount of consistency from Berdych over the season, he just wasn't able to cash in at the final hurdle with some silverware. With good health there should be little reason why Berdych won't once again confirm his spot among the best seven players in the world.

Sara Errani

In 2013 The Overrule opposed Errani's title total to a successful conclusion and in 2014 it's her ranking quote that The Overrule believes is worth opposing. Unibet have set the Italian's line at 9.5 and she has finished inside that line for the past two seasons. Errani has overachieved for the past two years, making the very most of her career and experiencing plenty of individual and doubles success relative to expectations.

Late last season the build up of increased expectations and pressure appeared to be weighing heavy on her mind which she spoke openly about. However, that didn't stop her leading Italy to a Fed Cup title at the end of the 2013 season.

Errani won four titles in 2012 and although she only won one in 2013 her general performance for much of the year was consistently impressive in most tour events. Her Grand Slam performances were not as consistent. She backed up reaching the French Open final in 2012 with a last four showing in 2013 but could only win a total of one match in the remaining three Grand Slams.

On that basis there is opportunity for her to gain points across those three Grand Slams and she may well have to if she fails to back up the consistency of finals and semi-finals she put together on the remainder of the tour to maintain her ranking.

The Overrule believes this is the year we start to see Errani begin to slip back outside of the top 10, or at the very least outside of the quote of 9.5, as the volume of matches over the past couple of years in singles and doubles begins to catch up with her.

Garbine Muguruza

As regular readers of The Overrule will know Muguruza is a player that has been touted for future success on the WTA Tour. A top 20 future is definitely within the capability of the Spaniard's grasp in the years to come. Muguruza's 2013 season was cut short by injury which required ankle surgery but she looks good to go in 2014.

Her ranking quote has been set at 60.5 with the under (to finish in the top 60) priced as the marginal favorite. Despite not playing since Wimbledon she was able to end the 2013 season ranked 63 and providing she stays healthy for the majority of the 2014 season there is plenty of upside to believe she will beat her ranking quote for the coming season.

Muguruza lost in the second round of the three Grand Slams she played in and it took strong opposition to take her out each time in the form of Serena Williams, Jelena Jankovic and Ekaterina Makarova. She reached a semi-final in Holland on grass before Wimbledon and previously reached the fourth round at both Indian Wells and Miami where it took Angelique Kerber and Li Na to beat her.

Her potentially best period of the season was lost for her due to injury and that represents a big window of opportunity in 2014 to gain points. A healthy Muguruza should comfortably finish inside the world's top 50 in 2014 and this quote represents the greatest value of the three players identified.

Details of The Overrule's 2014 service can be found here. The Overrule's 2013 season review can be found here. If you have any questions you'd like to ask The Overrule in light of the new season please e-mail at or send The Overrule a message on Twitter or Facebook.

Sunday, 22 December 2013

The Overrule in 2014

The Overrule is a tennis betting service that is tailored to the needs of individual subscribers covering professional tennis at ATP, WTA, Davis Cup, Fed Cup and Grand Slam level.

The aim of The Overrule is to provide subscribers value in tennis betting where it concerns pre-match match betting and outright/specials markets as well as input into opportunities that exist through in-play betting.


The service costs £200 for the full season. The Overrule’s season will run from the Australian Open in mid-January until the conclusion of the Davis Cup final in mid-November, spanning 10 months and working out to £20 a month for a season subscription.

The payment method is via Pay Pal only. Once the potential subscriber and I have agreed that the service is suitable for them, a place is reserved for them and payment details will be exchanged. Payments will be accepted from December 20th until January 10th (or earlier based on the subscription limit being reached).

Based on my experience in the industry - as a book trader and personal bettor/trader - it is impractical to take in unlimited amounts of subscriptions and to believe it is possible for all subscribers to be able to take advantage of the advised prices. With this in mind a limit has been imposed to best negate that as much as possible and to allow for The Overrule to be able to provide a personalised service for subscribers through regular e-mail contact.

Last season The Overrule returned a profit of 34.56 units/points from 129 bets, staking 331.50 units/points with a return of investment (ROI) of 10.43%. For a subscriber who bets £100 per point, this meant a total profit of £3456, minus the £200 subscription leaving the subscriber with a £3256 profit for the season.
The service is aimed at subscribers who bet at least £50 a point.
Over the four years of the service a £100 per point bettor has profited to the tune of £18,856 from The Overrule’s selections.


The Overrule would anticipate advising around 300-350 bets over the course of the season with a greater focus on daily match bets than was the case in 2013; this is due to the time I now have to dedicate myself to the service day to day. 

The peak times would occur during Grand Slams. During last season’s Grand Slams The Overrule advised 26 bets during the Australian Open, 17 during the French Open, 15 during Wimbledon and 9 during the US Open. 

The Overrule has always staked on the basis of 0.25 to a max 5 unit/points stake. This will continue. Last season the average stake on a selection was 2.57 units/points (for a £100 a unit/point bettor that would be £257), The Overrule takes the responsibility of advising selections very seriously and the staking plan and its limitations factor this in.

All selections are sent out via e-mail. There will be a daily e-mail sent either to advise selections or to state there are no selections for that day but may include information on in-play opportunities to look out for on certain matches or markets.

Yes. A release warning e-mail will be sent out 15-20 minutes before selections are sent. This release warning will also be posted on The Overrule’s Twitter account.

Yes. Once The Overrule is able to factor in the release of the next day’s order of play and when prices are available with bookmakers/exchanges a regular structure within a reasonable time frame will become apparent during the week and subscribers will be notified of this.

Yes. During points in February, March, April, May and lastly in June. Further details of which will be released nearer the time.

One of the keys to successful sports betting is to appreciate long term growth and not short term gain. No one can guarantee success in a particular week or month and anyone claiming so is misleading the reader. The Overrule promotes a long view understanding of sports betting and a proven track record over a span of four years which shows continued and consistent long term growth.


Yes. Subscriber satisfaction along with returning a healthy profit are the most important elements of The Overrule’s service. With that in mind The Overrule is happy to offer a pro-rated money back guarantee after the first three months of the service up until the first seven months of the service.
If for any reason you wish to end your subscription you may do so between April and August and receive the remaining balance of your subscription back through Pay Pal. Simply contact The Overrule before the first of the month to request cancellation and your payment pro-rated will be returned on the 15th of that month.

Request by April 1st, payment returned April 15th for £140.
Request by May 1st, payment returned May 15th for £120.
Request by June 1st, payment returned June 15th for £100.
Request by July 1st, payment returned July 15th for £80.
Request by August 1st, payment returned August 15th for £60.


Contact The Overrule at so we can discuss your betting outs (available bookmakers/exchanges) and determine if the service is suitable for you and to reserve your spot on the subscription list. If there are any further queries or questions regarding the service, please let me know.
The Overrule is available on Twitter as well as Facebook

Monday, 2 December 2013

Season Review 2013

The 2014 tennis season is just under a month away but before then it's time to breakdown The Overrule's 2013 season and look ahead to what The Overrule has planned for the new season. The Overrule returned for the 2013 season after a year away, The Overrule was previously found through Priceform for three years before the syndicate was taken over by Bet Advisor. The conditions for how The Overrule would have functioned under the new agreement weren't to my liking as they were not consistent with how The Overrule and its subscribers had been used to hence the absence for the 2012 season.

And so this year The Overrule was reborn on my own terms in the same way that subscribers and readers had been used to under Priceform with the same staking plan and ethos to advise value where we believe to have obtained it.

The Overrule's numbers under Priceform were as follows over a three year period with an ROI of 13.02% for a total unit profit of 154 points.

This season The Overrule maintained those similar level of returns.

Bets: 129 Stake 331.50 Profit +34.56 ROI 10.43%

In real monetary terms a £100 a point/unit bettor with The Overrule returned a profit of £3456 for the 2013 season with an ROI over 10%.

Over the combined four years of The Overrule's existence the returns are very healthy.

Bets 565 (436 + 129) Stake 1514.00 (1182.5 + 331.5) Profit +188.56 ROI 12.45%

Over the four years a £100 a point/unit bettor has returned a profit of £18,856 with an ROI in excess of 12%.

Now that we've broken down the overall numbers, let's have a closer look inside the numbers for the 2013 season.

Grand Slam performance: Bets 67 Stake 179.50 Profit +23.07 ROI 12.85%

The most profitable four week period of the season was between week 1, Australian Open and week 2.

Bets 30 Stake 64.00 Profit +27.71 ROI 43.29%

The next most profitable four week period of the season was between weeks 3, 4, 5 and 6.

Bets 16 Stake 38.00 Profit +27.20 ROI 71.58%

The least productive four week period of the season was between week 13, Wimbledon and week 14.

Bets 21 Stake 59.00 Loss -25.16 ROI -42.64%

The next least productive four week period of the season was between weeks 19, 20 and the US Open.

Bets 16 Stake 49.00 Loss -2.94 ROI -6.00%

The Overrule was absent between April 8-May 24 and September 2-October 13 this season due to time commitments but the 2014 service will be a full active year.

In terms of match-bets this season (including set betting and handicap betting) the numbers were as follows...

Bets 57 Won 31 Lost 26 Stake 155.00 Profit +31.15 ROI 20.09%

The average price of match-bets was 2.11 (32 of the 57 selections were advised at EVS or above) with a high of 3.25 and a low of 1.40.

Match-bets against Pinnacle (not including set betting in the instances where Pinnacle did not provide a market) opening and closing lines fared as follows...

Opening Pinnacle lines

Bets 46 Won 22 Lost 24 Stake 122.00 Profit +20.85 ROI 17.09%

Closing Pinnacle lines

Bets 46 Won 22 Lost 24 Stake 122.00 Profit +20.97 ROI 17.19%

The 2013 season proved to be very enjoyable and most importantly profitable for readers of The Overrule and I've really enjoyed the interaction between those of you who have got in touch over the season either through e-mail, Facebook and Twitter.

In 2014 The Overrule will revert to a limited subscription service starting from the week leading into the Australian Open in mid-January until the season's conclusion in mid-November. The service will be personalized to suit the subscriber's individual needs so that they can best utilise and profit from the advised selections based on the books/exchanges available to them.

Unlike many other services in this industry The Overrule is happy to offer a prorated money back guarantee following a three month period with no questions asked should it suit the subscriber. The cost of the service for the full season is £200 (working out to £20 a month).

Due to the limited subscriptions being offered a priority list will be set-up, so if you're interested in the full working details of the service please e-mail to be added to the priority list, where you will receive the full details before public release.

Before any subscriptions are accepted potential subscribers will need to fill out a short questionnaire aimed at giving The Overrule an understanding of how and if the service would be applicable to them. Ideally subscribers will be those who stake at least £50 a unit/point, with The Overrule continuing its staking policy of a 0.25-5 point staking plan. In 2013 the average units/points staked per selection was 2.57 units/points.

Added benefits of the service will include my personal input and experience of the industry over many years in different facets of the sports betting world from shop floor to trading floor. Although all selections advised will be pre-match there will be plenty of scope for The Overrule to relay knowledge regarding in-play tennis markets and areas to look out for and expose. The aim of the service beyond making a healthy profit for subscribers is to help subscribers become better tennis bettors and to gain further knowledge of the workings of the industry and how and where we can exploit areas of value and weakness.

By the end of the season you will have increased your bank and increased your knowledge of tennis betting, that is what The Overrule aims to provide with the same levels of honesty and transparency with record keeping as in the past.

Once again, to be added to the priority list e-mail

Full details will be sent to the priority list in a couple of weeks, in the meantime if you have any questions or queries feel free to contact by mail (ideally) or via The Overrule's Twitter account.

Between now and the Australian Open The Overrule will continue to provide advice on specials markets for the 2014 season and will provide Weekly Overview's during the season as normal to gauge our progress.