Monday, 11 February 2013

WTA Doha

If you were missing women's Grand Slam action then Doha is just the medicine you need as all but Li Na of the world's top 10 have made their way to Qatar. The draw couldn't have worked out better for defending champion and world number one Victoria Azarenka as she has avoided all of the few names who could have seriously troubled her before the final.

Betfred have Azarenka at 3/1 for the tournament and with the each-way terms 6/4 to reach the final. That 6/4 looks big given her route to the final and it's only against Serena Williams who Azarenka wouldn't be favourite against in the final, so 3/1 each-way seems very appealing.

The bottom half of the draw is where 6/4 favourite Serena resides and although Serena always justifies favouritism in The Overrule's view given that we believe she is the greatest female tennis player of all time, that price does appear skinny given she will probably have to come through Petra Kvitova, Maria Sharapova and Azarenka to win the tournament. Add to that we don't know how well she has recovered from the injuries she picked up in Melbourne.

It's not that an on-form Serena would have any trouble defeating an out of sorts Kvitova or a Sharapova who she has dominated mercilessly or an Azarenka who she has a stranglehold over lifetime. It's that we don't quite know how good a shape she is in or how well she is moving to justify taking 6/4 on a draw which has presented her with the potential of some of the stiffest challenges she could likely receive.

Serena beating Azarenka in the final is the most likely outcome in Doha, but as far as pricing goes Azarenka is the each-way play. The Overrule will back two points each-way on Azarenka, meaning two points at 3/1 to win the title and two points at 6/4 to reach the final.

2* Victoria Azarenka win Doha (each-way) @ 3/1 (Betfred) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)

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