Monday, 25 February 2013

WTA Florianopolis

Kristina Mladenovic has already shot up the rankings this season and she appears overpriced for a good run on the purple hard courts in Brazil. Mladenovic has already moved up 40 spots in the rankings this year in large part thanks to a semi-final appearance in Paris (where she defeated Petra Kvitova in straight sets) and a quarter-final showing in Memphis.

Yaroslava Shvedova is as short as 7/2 for tournament success in Florianopolis but hasn't shown any form this season and is placed in Mladenovic's quarter. Venus Williams is tournament favourite and number one seed at 7/4.

Another player in the same half of the draw - Valeria Savinykh - is absurdly overpriced in The Overrule's view at a massive 100/1! Savinykh has quickly gained the tag of "Baby Bepa" for her many similarities in game style and mannerisms to Vera Zvonareva and her odds are not a true reflection of her capabilities.

Savinykh came through qualifying at the Australian Open to reach the third round and beat Dominika Cibulkova along the way. She begins her campaign in Brazil against Timea Babos where she is a marginal favorite to win. Savinykh would then be the underdog in her remaining matches if seedings play out, but at 100/1 we are clearly obtaining a huge chunk of value.

The Overrule will back both Mladenovic and Savinykh in the outright each-way market even though both players are in the same half of the draw and could meet in the last four. One point each-way on Mladenovic at 16/1 to win the tournament and 8/1 to reach the final. Half a point on Savinykh at 100/1 to win the tournament and 50/1 to reach the final.

1* Kristina Mladenovic win Florianopolis (each-way) @ 16/1 (Betfred) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)

0.5* Valeria Savinykh win Florianopolis (each-way) @ 100/1 (Betfred) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)

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