Tuesday, 5 February 2013

ATP Montpellier

The Montpellier draw has been shaken up a little by the withdrawal of number one seed Tomas Berdych - who is no doubt exhausted after his Davis Cup exploits at the weekend. Nikolay Davydenko takes the Czech's place at the top of the draw, but it's 12/1 shot and 2010 Montpellier winner Gael Monfils who takes our eye as an each-way selection.

Monfils is likely to face tournament favourite Richard Gasquet in the second round, but I fail to see why Gasquet should be as short as 3/1 to win the event, while Monfils is at 12/1. Monfils's price is likely to be cut in half, or even further should he find a way to oust Gasquet who he has a winning 2-1 head to head with indoors. We'll place half a point each-way on Gael for a total outlay of one point.

0.5* Gael Monfils win Montpellier (each-way) @ 12/1 (Boylesports) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)

Michael Llodra has always been a tricky customer to deal with indoors and as with Monfils, his price of 12/1 appeals as an each-way selection. The biggest test in Llodra's draw will come early in the second round against Janko Tipsarevic, but if he can make his way into the last eight his price will also come tumbling down. 

Llodra defeated Tipsarevic indoors last season in Marseille and given the Serbian will be playing his first match of the event against the lefty, it could prove to be an uncomfortable opening encounter and we're happy to outlay the same stake at the same price on Llodra in the bottom half as we are with Monfils in the top half. 

0.5* Michael Llodra win Montpellier (each-way) @ 12/1 (Bet 365) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)

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