ATP San Jose

If you like lots of aces and short points this is the tournament for you as Milos Raonic attempts to win this event for the third successive occasion. Raonic is deservedly priced up as favourite in San Jose, but in tournaments where only a few key points are likely to decide the critical matches at the end of the week, I prefer to look for the bigger priced players who have more than a fair chance of being involved in the mix.

The Overrule likes the look of Tommy Haas at 10/1 in San Jose. The German will be making his eighth appearance at the event where his best performance was a semi-finalist in 2005 against Andy Roddick. Haas hasn't played the tournament since 2010 and may meet either Fernando Verdasco or Ivo Karlovic in the last eight before a likely semi-final with John Isner.

Raonic and Isner are both priced too short for my liking given the fact matches from the last eight onwards will be settled on minor details and key points. Sam Querrey at 7/1 appeals slightly in the top half of the draw, but we're happy to go with one point each-way on Haas at 10/1. If the German serves well, he has the tools to carve out those crucial points that may make the difference on return in likely tie-breakers.

1* Tommy Haas win San Jose (each-way) @ 10/1 (Victor Chandler) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)