Ranking Quotes

The new season is here and with that comes an extensive list of ranking quotes from Unibet who continue to be the only company willing to price and line up a wide range of players. In 2013 The Overrule was successful on quotes involving Mona Barthel and Eugenie Bouchard.

If you've been thinking about dabbling in the rankings market for the 2014 season here are a few options The Overrule believes you should consider.

Tomas Berdych

Unibet have set Berdych's line at 7.5 for 2014 and he finished the 2013 season comfortably in 7th spot. The Czech has finished inside the world's top 7 every year since 2010 and has long positioned himself as one of those tier II players knocking on the door of the very elite of the game but having yet failed to capture a first Grand Slam title.

Berdych experienced Davis Cup success again in 2013 defending the title he and Radek Stepanek won in 2012. That happened to be the only occasion in 2013 that Berdych lifted a trophy as he surprisingly went the whole season without capturing an individual title. After a promising first half of the season with a quarter-final showing at the Australian Open (losing to eventual champion Novak Djokovic), two finals in Marseille (losing to Jo-Wilfried Tsonga) and Dubai (Djokovic) and three semi-final appearances in Masters events at Indian Wells, Madrid and Rome things never took off for Berdych in the form of titles.

Djokovic ousted him again in the last eight of a Grand Slam at Wimbledon and Stanislas Wawrinka ended his tournament in the fourth round of the US Open. A first round loss to Gael Monfils at the French Open means there is plenty of scope there for him to gain some decent ranking points at Roland Garros in 2014.

A third defeat in a final came in Bangkok where he was beaten by Milos Raonic and he reached a fourth Masters semi-final of the season in Cincinnati before the US Open. All in all there was a fair amount of consistency from Berdych over the season, he just wasn't able to cash in at the final hurdle with some silverware. With good health there should be little reason why Berdych won't once again confirm his spot among the best seven players in the world.

Sara Errani

In 2013 The Overrule opposed Errani's title total to a successful conclusion and in 2014 it's her ranking quote that The Overrule believes is worth opposing. Unibet have set the Italian's line at 9.5 and she has finished inside that line for the past two seasons. Errani has overachieved for the past two years, making the very most of her career and experiencing plenty of individual and doubles success relative to expectations.

Late last season the build up of increased expectations and pressure appeared to be weighing heavy on her mind which she spoke openly about. However, that didn't stop her leading Italy to a Fed Cup title at the end of the 2013 season.

Errani won four titles in 2012 and although she only won one in 2013 her general performance for much of the year was consistently impressive in most tour events. Her Grand Slam performances were not as consistent. She backed up reaching the French Open final in 2012 with a last four showing in 2013 but could only win a total of one match in the remaining three Grand Slams.

On that basis there is opportunity for her to gain points across those three Grand Slams and she may well have to if she fails to back up the consistency of finals and semi-finals she put together on the remainder of the tour to maintain her ranking.

The Overrule believes this is the year we start to see Errani begin to slip back outside of the top 10, or at the very least outside of the quote of 9.5, as the volume of matches over the past couple of years in singles and doubles begins to catch up with her.

Garbine Muguruza

As regular readers of The Overrule will know Muguruza is a player that has been touted for future success on the WTA Tour. A top 20 future is definitely within the capability of the Spaniard's grasp in the years to come. Muguruza's 2013 season was cut short by injury which required ankle surgery but she looks good to go in 2014.

Her ranking quote has been set at 60.5 with the under (to finish in the top 60) priced as the marginal favorite. Despite not playing since Wimbledon she was able to end the 2013 season ranked 63 and providing she stays healthy for the majority of the 2014 season there is plenty of upside to believe she will beat her ranking quote for the coming season.

Muguruza lost in the second round of the three Grand Slams she played in and it took strong opposition to take her out each time in the form of Serena Williams, Jelena Jankovic and Ekaterina Makarova. She reached a semi-final in Holland on grass before Wimbledon and previously reached the fourth round at both Indian Wells and Miami where it took Angelique Kerber and Li Na to beat her.

Her potentially best period of the season was lost for her due to injury and that represents a big window of opportunity in 2014 to gain points. A healthy Muguruza should comfortably finish inside the world's top 50 in 2014 and this quote represents the greatest value of the three players identified.

Details of The Overrule's 2014 service can be found here. The Overrule's 2013 season review can be found here. If you have any questions you'd like to ask The Overrule in light of the new season please e-mail at theoverrule@gmail.com or send The Overrule a message on Twitter or Facebook.

The Overrule in 2014

The Overrule is a tennis betting service that is tailored to the needs of individual subscribers covering professional tennis at ATP, WTA, Davis Cup, Fed Cup and Grand Slam level.

The aim of The Overrule is to provide subscribers value in tennis betting where it concerns pre-match match betting and outright/specials markets as well as input into opportunities that exist through in-play betting.

HOW MUCH DOES THE SERVICE COST?

The service costs £200 for the full season. The Overrule’s season will run from the Australian Open in mid-January until the conclusion of the Davis Cup final in mid-November, spanning 10 months and working out to £20 a month for a season subscription.

WHAT IS THE METHOD OF PAYMENT AND WHEN WILL PAYMENTS BE ACCEPTED?

The payment method is via Pay Pal only. Once the potential subscriber and I have agreed that the service is suitable for them, a place is reserved for them and payment details will be exchanged. Payments will be accepted from December 20^th until January 10^th (or earlier based on the subscription limit being reached).

WHY IS THERE A LIMIT ON THE AMOUNT OF PEOPLE WHO CAN SUBSCRIBE TO THE SERVICE?

Based on my experience in the industry - as a book trader and personal bettor/trader - it is impractical to take in unlimited amounts of subscriptions and to believe it is possible for all subscribers to be able to take advantage of the advised prices. With this in mind a limit has been imposed to best negate that as much as possible and to allow for The Overrule to be able to provide a personalised service for subscribers through regular e-mail contact.

BASED ON LAST SEASON’S NUMBERS HOW WOULD I HAVE FARED WITH MY £200 SUBSCRIPTION?

Last season The Overrule returned a profit of 34.56 units/points from 129 bets, staking 331.50 units/points with a return of investment (ROI) of 10.43%. For a subscriber who bets £100 per point, this meant a total profit of £3456, minus the £200 subscription leaving the subscriber with a £3256 profit for the season.

The service is aimed at subscribers who bet at least £50 a point.

Over the four years of the service a £100 per point bettor has profited to the tune of £18,856 from The Overrule’s selections.

http://www.theoverrule.blogspot.co.uk/2013/12/season-review-2013.html

HOW MANY BETS DO YOU INTEND TO ADVISE OVER A 10 MONTH SEASON?

The Overrule would anticipate advising around 300-350 bets over the course of the season with a greater focus on daily match bets than was the case in 2013; this is due to the time I now have to dedicate myself to the service day to day. 

The peak times would occur during Grand Slams. During last season’s Grand Slams The Overrule advised 26 bets during the Australian Open, 17 during the French Open, 15 during Wimbledon and 9 during the US Open. 

WHAT IS THE STAKING PLAN?

The Overrule has always staked on the basis of 0.25 to a max 5 unit/points stake. This will continue. Last season the average stake on a selection was 2.57 units/points (for a £100 a unit/point bettor that would be £257), The Overrule takes the responsibility of advising selections very seriously and the staking plan and its limitations factor this in.

HOW DO I RECEIVE THE SELECTIONS ADVISED?

All selections are sent out via e-mail. There will be a daily e-mail sent either to advise selections or to state there are no selections for that day but may include information on in-play opportunities to look out for on certain matches or markets.

WILL I RECEIVE A NOTIFICATION AS TO WHEN TO EXPECT THE DAILY E-MAIL RELEASES?

Yes. A release warning e-mail will be sent out 15-20 minutes before selections are sent. This release warning will also be posted on The Overrule’s Twitter account.

WILL THERE BE A REGULAR SCHEDULE FOR THE DAILY E-MAILS EACH WEEK?

Yes. Once The Overrule is able to factor in the release of the next day’s order of play and when prices are available with bookmakers/exchanges a regular structure within a reasonable time frame will become apparent during the week and subscribers will be notified of this.

OTHER THAN THE START OF THE AUSTRALIAN OPEN WILL THERE BE FURTHER OPPORTUNITIES TO SUBSCRIBE TO THE OVERRULE?

Yes. During points in February, March, April, May and lastly in June. Further details of which will be released nearer the time.

WHY CAN’T PEOPLE SUBSCRIBE TO THE SERVICE AT ANY AND ALL POINTS OF THE SEASON?

One of the keys to successful sports betting is to appreciate long term growth and not short term gain. No one can guarantee success in a particular week or month and anyone claiming so is misleading the reader. The Overrule promotes a long view understanding of sports betting and a proven track record over a span of four years which shows continued and consistent long term growth.

http://www.theoverrule.blogspot.co.uk/2013/12/season-review-2013.html

DO YOU OFFER ANY MONEY BACK GUARANTEES?

Yes. Subscriber satisfaction along with returning a healthy profit are the most important elements of The Overrule’s service. With that in mind The Overrule is happy to offer a pro-rated money back guarantee after the first three months of the service up until the first seven months of the service.

If for any reason you wish to end your subscription you may do so between April and August and receive the remaining balance of your subscription back through Pay Pal. Simply contact The Overrule before the first of the month to request cancellation and your payment pro-rated will be returned on the 15^th of that month.

Request by April 1^st, payment returned April 15^th for £140.

Request by May 1^st, payment returned May 15^th for £120.

Request by June 1^st, payment returned June 15^th for £100.

Request by July 1^st, payment returned July 15^th for £80.

Request by August 1^st, payment returned August 15^th for £60.

I BELIEVE THIS IS THE SERVICE FOR ME, WHAT’S THE NEXT STEP?

Contact The Overrule at theoverrule@gmail.com so we can discuss your betting outs (available bookmakers/exchanges) and determine if the service is suitable for you and to reserve your spot on the subscription list. If there are any further queries or questions regarding the service, please let me know.

The Overrule is available on Twitter as well as Facebook. 

Season Review 2013

The 2014 tennis season is just under a month away but before then it's time to breakdown The Overrule's 2013 season and look ahead to what The Overrule has planned for the new season. The Overrule returned for the 2013 season after a year away, The Overrule was previously found through Priceform for three years before the syndicate was taken over by Bet Advisor. The conditions for how The Overrule would have functioned under the new agreement weren't to my liking as they were not consistent with how The Overrule and its subscribers had been used to hence the absence for the 2012 season.

And so this year The Overrule was reborn on my own terms in the same way that subscribers and readers had been used to under Priceform with the same staking plan and ethos to advise value where we believe to have obtained it.

The Overrule's numbers under Priceform were as follows over a three year period with an ROI of 13.02% for a total unit profit of 154 points.

This season The Overrule maintained those similar level of returns.

Bets: 129 Stake 331.50 Profit +34.56 ROI 10.43%

In real monetary terms a £100 a point/unit bettor with The Overrule returned a profit of £3456 for the 2013 season with an ROI over 10%.

Over the combined four years of The Overrule's existence the returns are very healthy.

Bets 565 (436 + 129) Stake 1514.00 (1182.5 + 331.5) Profit +188.56 ROI 12.45%

Over the four years a £100 a point/unit bettor has returned a profit of £18,856 with an ROI in excess of 12%.

Now that we've broken down the overall numbers, let's have a closer look inside the numbers for the 2013 season.

Grand Slam performance: Bets 67 Stake 179.50 Profit +23.07 ROI 12.85%

The most profitable four week period of the season was between week 1, Australian Open and week 2.

Bets 30 Stake 64.00 Profit +27.71 ROI 43.29%

http://www.theoverrule.blogspot.co.uk/2013/01/weekly-overview.html
http://www.theoverrule.blogspot.co.uk/2013/01/australian-open-overview.html
http://www.theoverrule.blogspot.co.uk/2013/02/weekly-overview.html

The next most profitable four week period of the season was between weeks 3, 4, 5 and 6.

Bets 16 Stake 38.00 Profit +27.20 ROI 71.58%

http://www.theoverrule.blogspot.co.uk/2013/02/weekly-overview_10.html
http://www.theoverrule.blogspot.co.uk/2013/02/weekly-overview_18.html
http://www.theoverrule.blogspot.co.uk/2013/02/weekly-overview-5.html
http://www.theoverrule.blogspot.co.uk/2013/03/weekly-overview-6.html

The least productive four week period of the season was between week 13, Wimbledon and week 14.

Bets 21 Stake 59.00 Loss -25.16 ROI -42.64%

http://www.theoverrule.blogspot.co.uk/2013/06/weekly-overview-13.html
http://www.theoverrule.blogspot.co.uk/2013/07/wimbledon-overview.html
http://www.theoverrule.blogspot.co.uk/2013/07/weekly-overview-14.html

The next least productive four week period of the season was between weeks 19, 20 and the US Open.

Bets 16 Stake 49.00 Loss -2.94 ROI -6.00%

http://www.theoverrule.blogspot.co.uk/2013/08/weekly-overview-19.html
http://www.theoverrule.blogspot.co.uk/2013/08/weekly-overview-20.html
http://www.theoverrule.blogspot.co.uk/2013/09/us-open-overview.html

The Overrule was absent between April 8-May 24 and September 2-October 13 this season due to time commitments but the 2014 service will be a full active year.

In terms of match-bets this season (including set betting and handicap betting) the numbers were as follows...

Bets 57 Won 31 Lost 26 Stake 155.00 Profit +31.15 ROI 20.09%

The average price of match-bets was 2.11 (32 of the 57 selections were advised at EVS or above) with a high of 3.25 and a low of 1.40.

Match-bets against Pinnacle (not including set betting in the instances where Pinnacle did not provide a market) opening and closing lines fared as follows...

Opening Pinnacle lines

Bets 46 Won 22 Lost 24 Stake 122.00 Profit +20.85 ROI 17.09%

Closing Pinnacle lines

Bets 46 Won 22 Lost 24 Stake 122.00 Profit +20.97 ROI 17.19%

The 2013 season proved to be very enjoyable and most importantly profitable for readers of The Overrule and I've really enjoyed the interaction between those of you who have got in touch over the season either through e-mail, Facebook and Twitter.

In 2014 The Overrule will revert to a limited subscription service starting from the week leading into the Australian Open in mid-January until the season's conclusion in mid-November. The service will be personalized to suit the subscriber's individual needs so that they can best utilise and profit from the advised selections based on the books/exchanges available to them.

Unlike many other services in this industry The Overrule is happy to offer a prorated money back guarantee following a three month period with no questions asked should it suit the subscriber. The cost of the service for the full season is £200 (working out to £20 a month).

Due to the limited subscriptions being offered a priority list will be set-up, so if you're interested in the full working details of the service please e-mail theoverrule@gmail.com to be added to the priority list, where you will receive the full details before public release.

Before any subscriptions are accepted potential subscribers will need to fill out a short questionnaire aimed at giving The Overrule an understanding of how and if the service would be applicable to them. Ideally subscribers will be those who stake at least £50 a unit/point, with The Overrule continuing its staking policy of a 0.25-5 point staking plan. In 2013 the average units/points staked per selection was 2.57 units/points.

Added benefits of the service will include my personal input and experience of the industry over many years in different facets of the sports betting world from shop floor to trading floor. Although all selections advised will be pre-match there will be plenty of scope for The Overrule to relay knowledge regarding in-play tennis markets and areas to look out for and expose. The aim of the service beyond making a healthy profit for subscribers is to help subscribers become better tennis bettors and to gain further knowledge of the workings of the industry and how and where we can exploit areas of value and weakness.

By the end of the season you will have increased your bank and increased your knowledge of tennis betting, that is what The Overrule aims to provide with the same levels of honesty and transparency with record keeping as in the past.

Once again, to be added to the priority list e-mail theoverrule@gmail.com

Full details will be sent to the priority list in a couple of weeks, in the meantime if you have any questions or queries feel free to contact by mail (ideally) or via The Overrule's Twitter account.

Between now and the Australian Open The Overrule will continue to provide advice on specials markets for the 2014 season and will provide Weekly Overview's during the season as normal to gauge our progress.

Weekly Overview (25)

This week's breakdown which concludes the 2013 season...

The Czech Republic retained the Davis Cup with a 3-2 win in Serbia. As expected once Janko Tipsarevic's withdrawal was made official, the tie boiled down to the doubles rubber where the Czechs repeated their straight sets success over the same opponents the previous year.

Weekly performance - Stake: 2.00 Profit/Loss: 5.00 ROI: 250.00%

Season performance - Stake: 331.50 Profit/Loss: +34.56 ROI: 10.43%

Later this week The Overrule will post a Season Overview as we look back on the 2013 campaign and look briefly ahead to what The Overrule has in store for 2014. 

The Overrule is available on Twitter as well as Facebook.

Weekly Overview (24)

This week's breakdown...

Tomas Berdych lost out to Stanislas Wawrinka in three sets on the opening day of the World Tour Finals. Rafael Nadal and Novak Djokovic meet later tonight in the final which fittingly pits the two best players in the world against each other.

Weekly performance - Stake: 3.00 Profit/Loss: -3.00 ROI: 100.00%

Season performance - Stake: 329.50 Profit/Loss: +29.56 ROI: 8.97%

The Overrule is available on Twitter as well as Facebook. 

Davis Cup Final

Next week's Davis Cup final will draw a close to the tennis season and Serbia are as short as 2/7 to win the trophy for the second time in their history. That favoritism underestimates the true chances of success for the defending champions, the Czech Republic, who are as big as 5/2.

This will be the third time in the past five years that the duo of Tomas Berdych and Radek Stepanek have led the Czechs to the Davis Cup final. Both are experienced campaigners in the event who have had plenty of success in the team format.

The Serbians will rely on Novak Djokovic but beneath that there are cracks and question marks. Viktor Troicki is unavailable while he serves a ban, which means Serbia will need to count on Janko Tipsarevic as the second singles player. Given a season of very poor form and results along with some injury concerns, it's easy to understand why Serbian fans might not be as bullish about this final as could be expected.

The final will be played on indoor hard which will suit both teams and there is no decided advantage in that aspect.

On paper The Overrule would expect (as anyone would) Djokovic to win both of his singles rubbers, he holds a 14-2 record over Berydch and both of his defeats came away from hard/indoor court on grass and clay. As well as holding a 8-1 record over Stepanek, with his solitary loss coming way back in 2006 in a deciding set tie-break.

It's the remaining rubbers where the Czechs will feel they could capitalise to defend their title. Despite a losing 2-4 record against Tipsarevic on hard courts Berdych will be a strong favorite to beat the Serbian based on current form. Tipsarevic beat Stepanek in straight sets during the Davis Cup semi-final in 2010 but his form between then and now is drastically different.

Could Tipsarevic be inspired in front of a home crowd and rediscover some of his form of recent years to provide Djokovic with the modicum of help needed to win the title? Sure. That is entirely possible. However, as we currently stand that would appear to be more wishful thinking of the Serbian variety than a likely possibility.

The doubles rubber on the Saturday should favor the Czechs. Berdych/Stepanek have a phenomenal record playing together at Davis Cup level with a 13-1 win/loss record. Among those wins is a 2-0 record against Serbia. In 2012 they beat Nenad Zimonjic and Ilija Bozoljac in straight sets at home and in 2010 they defeated Zimonjic and Djokovic in four sets in Serbia.

It is quite possible that the Czechs will head into Sunday 2-1 up with the pressure on Serbia to overcome the deficit, much like they were able to do during the 2010 semi-final (on that occasion Djokovic was unavailable to play on the opening Friday). The 5/2 available on the Czechs definitely appeals in that sense and could well provide us with an opportunity to manage that position further going into the final day's play.

The Overrule advises a two point selection on the Czechs at 5/2.

2* Czech Republic win Davis Cup at 5/2 (William Hill)

ATP World Tour Finals

The World Tour Finals begin in London on Monday as the ATP season draws to a close. Tomas Berdych and Stanislas Wawrinka kick off the event with both having met as recently as the US Open where Wawrinka prevailed. Wawrinka leads the overall head to head 7-5, but Berdych leads 2-0 in indoor meetings although it has been 5 years since they met indoors.

Berdych is making his fourth straight appearance at the event while Wawrinka has qualified for the first time. The two have been drawn in a group with world number one Rafael Nadal and David Ferrer. Despite the threat that Wawrinka poses, The Overrule tissue prices Berdych at 4/6 and thus we're happy to back the Czech at the 5/6 available at a number of books. Three points on Berdych at 4/6.

3* Tomas Berdych beat Stanislas Wawrinka at 5/6 (Winner)

Weekly Overview (23)

This week's breakdown...

Jo-Wilfried Tsonga didn't last long in Paris and neither did his hopes of reaching the World Tour Finals in London next week. Tsonga lost out to Kei Nishikori in a third set tie-break. Tsonga had two match points, one of which he double faulted away and the other which was saved by a Nishikori second serve ace. The last four points of the match ended double fault (Tsonga), second serve ace (Nishikori), first serve ace (Nishikori), double fault (Tsonga).

The Fed Cup was decided today which meant this selection could be settled...

Italy went off as short as 1/33 favorites after we were able to jump on the 1/2 available ahead of time before bookmakers caught on to the likely news that Russia would be missing many of their best players for various reasons. In the end Italy won 3-0 as expected but not without being given a huge scare in the first rubber where Alexandra Panova produced a display of quality and fight against Roberta Vinci. The Italian eventually prevailed 8-6 in the third set after Panova had served for the match three times. Sara Errani finished off the tie with straight sets victories in the second and third live rubbers. 

Off the court Flavia Pennetta stole the show. 

Earlier in the week The Overrule conducted a breakdown of how we have performed this season across various categories and against closing lines on Pinnacle. During the breakdown it became evident that there had been a three point staking error during the Australian Open where a three point void selection had been included in the overall stake performance. This has now been rectified and all numbers are now correct. The slight over staking of those three points meant our ROI for the season has been marginally lower than it actually was.

Weekly performance - Stake: 6.00 Profit/Loss: +1.50 ROI: 25.00%

Season performance - Stake: 326.50 Profit/Loss: +32.56 ROI: 9.97%

The Overrule is now available on Twitter as well as on Facebook.

Overview Correction

A 3 point selection void was incorrectly included in the breakdown of results during the Australian Open. The void was due to a concession for matches lost in five sets with Paddy Power.

http://www.theoverrule.blogspot.co.uk/2013/01/australian-open-overview.html

The Australian Overview should have read staked 57 and not staked 60.

This error has now been corrected in the overall record at the top of the page with the 3 point stake taken off. Apologies for the oversight, it became apparent after a breakdown evaluation this morning. The stats at the top of the page now also include this week's 1 point loss on Jo-Wilfried Tsonga in Paris.

Weekly Overview (Specials & 22)

Our season specials have come to a close, so it's time to look at that breakdown as well as the past week.

Sara Errani ended the season with one title which was under the 2.5 line. She was priced as favorite to win two titles this season in Acapulco and Palermo, the Italian won Acapulco but lost out to doubles partner Roberta Vinci in the final in Palermo. Errani made two other finals this season in Paris (Mona Barthel) and Dubai (Petra Kvitova).

Petra Kvitova ended the season ranked number six in the world while Angelique Kerber dipped down to nine. Their race was close until the Asian swing where Kvitova pulled away.

Mona Barthel ended the season ranked number thirty-four in the world which was under the 37.5 line we needed her to be at. This came in large part due to the early portion of the season where Barthel won Paris, reached a final in Hobart and a semi-final in Auckland. Since Indian Wells Barthel was barely able to put consecutive wins together.

Eugenie Bouchard obliterated her ranking over/under line which was set at 106.5. The Canadian began the year at 147 and ended it at 32.

Specials performance - Stake: 10.00 Profit/Loss: +8.88 ROI: 88.80%

Season performance - Stake: 313.50 Profit/Loss: +29.77 ROI: 9.49%

Here's the past week's breakdown...

Petra Kvitova defeated Agnieszka Radwanska in straight sets on the opening day of the event. Victoria Azarenka not only failed to win her group but she was also unable to qualify for the last four. Serena Williams capped off a quite phenomenal season with another title. 

Weekly performance - Stake: 10.00 Profit/Loss: +1.29 ROI: 12.90%

Season performance - Stake: 323.50 Profit/Loss: +31.06 ROI: 9.60%

ATP Paris

A long season is drawing to its final conclusion with the race to London still being a possibility for a number of players. One of those players is 2008 Paris champion Jo-Wilfried Tsonga and he appeals in the outright each-way market at 40/1. Tsonga is drawn in the top half where he could meet world number one Rafael Nadal in the last eight, while Novak Djokovic and Juan Martin del Potro take their places in the bottom half.

It has been quite a while since a number one seed won Paris, the rigors of a long and demanding season taking its toll on the top players at this stage of the season with their eyes usually looking ahead to the year end championships. Andre Agassi was the last man to do so in 1999.

The Overrule will be placing half a point each-way on Tsonga at 40/1 and if he should make the last four would give us flexibility for the latter stages of the tournament.

0.5* Jo-Wilfried Tsonga win Paris (each-way) at 40/1 (Betfred) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)

Fed Cup Final

In short, the Russian team is in disarray.

In what was already expected to be a tough encounter in Italy on clay against the likes of Sara Errani, Roberta Vinci and Flavia Pennetta, the Russians find themselves without - for one reason or another - Maria Sharapova (who aside from being injured stated she wouldn't play the final as a respect to those who had got Russia there), Maria Kirilenko (Sofia), Svetlana Kuznetsova (unknown), Ekaterina Makarova (injured), Elena Vesnina (Sofia), Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova (Sofia) and Nadia Petrova (injured and is only playing the WTA YEC doubles for the sake of her partner).

Whatever team the Russians end up with will be significant underdogs against a strong Italy team. The 1/2 available on Italy lifting the Fed Cup will surely start to nosedive once this news starts to filter out. The time to move is now with a maximum five point selection.

5* Italy to win the Fed Cup at 1/2 (Sky Bet)

WTA Year End Championships

The last meaningful week of the WTA is upon us (The Overrule doesn't consider Sofia meaningful no matter how much the WTA wants to make us believe it is) in Istanbul as the best players in the world round out the season.

The Overrule has three selections from the outset, one in the outright market, one in the outright group market and one selection for the first day's play.

4* Serena Williams win Istanbul at 8/11 (Bet Victor)

3* Victoria Azarenka win White Group at 8/11 (Sky Bet)

3* Petra Kvitova beat Agnieszka Radwanska at 7/10 (Bet Victor)

Weekly Overview (21)

Weekly breakdown.

Season overview.

Weekly performance - Stake: 7.00 Profit/Loss: -7.00 ROI: -100.00%

Season performance - Stake: 303.50 Profit/Loss: +20.89 ROI: 6.88%

WTA Luxembourg

In Luxembourg neither of the top three priced favorites appeal with Caroline Wozniacki too short at 11/5, Sabine Lisicki with an injury cloud at 5/1 and Sloane Stephens who continually underwhelms in tournaments of this nature at 8/1.

Looking further afield double digit prices on Andrea Petkovic at 10/1 and Lucie Safarova at 12/1 present more value. One point each-way on both players.

1* Andrea Petkovic win Luxembourg (each-way) at 10/1 (Ladbrokes) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)

1* Lucie Safarova win Luxembourg (each-way) at 12/1 (Bet Victor) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)

WTA Moscow

Two each-way selections for WTA Moscow focuses in on two Russian players in opposite halves of the draw - Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova and Svetlana Kuznetsova. Potentially great value on Pavlyuchenkova with the possibility that top seed Angelique Kerber could pull out which would further increase Pavlyuchenkova's chances over what is an already inflated 28/1.

One point each-way on Pavlyuchenkova at 28/1 and half a point each-way on Kuznetsova at 20/1.

1* Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova win Moscow (each-way) at 28/1 (Betfred) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)

0.5* Svetlana Kuznetsova win Moscow (each-way) at 20/1 (Betfred) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)

US Open Overview

The Overrule's breakdown for the US Open...

In the outright markets Novak Djokovic (15/8) reached his third Grand Slam final of the year at the US Open and what was initially as testing a path to the final as he could have received on paper proved to be largely anything but.

Djokovic and Rafael Nadal played another typically awe inspiring match against each other on hard courts in the final and while both looked capable of running away with the final at various points it was eventually Nadal who did so in the fourth set after what proved to be a critical third set where Djokovic had plenty of chances.

Earlier in the tournament Juan Martin del Potro (33/1) exited surprisingly early at the hands of Lleyton Hewitt in the second round. Nadal (10/11) breezed his way to the final and we were able to extract great value with that selection as Nadal's cumulative match betting price to reach the final ended up being around 1/4 as opposed to the 10/11 we took him at.

Jerzy Janowicz's (4/1) tournament was partly derailed by a back injury and he wasn't able to advance beyond the first round in what had the makings of a negotiable draw.

In the women's event Victoria Azarenka (5/1 each-way) once again proved she's head and shoulders above anyone on hard courts who isn't named Serena Williams. Azarenka reached her second consecutive US Open final despite performing well below par in the mid rounds and continued to struggle on serve as she has done since returning from injury post-Wimbledon.

Much to the surprise of some (don't ask me why) the final was a highly competitive affair as the past three hard court finals between Williams and Azarenka had also been with all going the distance. Williams leveled up their outdoor hard court battles at 2-2 over the past 12 months and few would expect anything other than repeat finals at the WTA YEC in Istanbul later this year and next year's Australian Open.

Simona Halep (11/2) lost out to an inspired Flavia Pennetta in her quest to reach the latter stages. The Williams/Azarenka (6/5) final became a reality as we know with Williams being untroubled on her way to the final while Azarenka was forced into deciders by Alize Cornet and Ana Ivanovic.

In match bets Elina Svitolina (8/13) wasted untold amounts of break points against Christina McHale while Daniela Hantuchova (11/8) eventually saw off Alison Riske in three sets having blown a set and a break lead.

US Open performance - Stake: 32.00 Profit/Loss: +8.57 ROI: 26.78%

Season performance - Stake: 296.50 Profit/Loss: +27.89 ROI: 9.41%

The Overrule will be on hiatus from now and during the Asian swing of the season before returning at the resumption of the indoor season up until the respective end to the year of both tours. Tomorrow The Overrule will overview our pending Specials selections for the season. 

As always if you need to get in touch you can contact The Overrule either by theoverrule@gmail.com or on Twitter @JayJarrahi

US Open - Fourth Round

One selection for today's play.

4* Daniela Hantuchova beat Alison Riske at 11/8 (Paddy Power)

US Open - Second Round

Elina Svitolina opened up at between 4/9 and 8/15 for her second round match with American Christina McHale which was the right price in The Overrule's estimation at 8/15. Svitolina is now available at 8/13 which presents an opportunity for us to extract some value on the talented Ukrainian.

Svitolina is the only teenager on tour to win a title this year and has been highly touted by The Overrule since early in the year. The pair met last year on clay where McHale prevailed but while the American's career has stagnated, Svitolina is getting better by the week and month.

In first round action Svitolina defeated Dominika Cibulkova in straight sets and McHale did likewise against Julia Goerges who has been hopeless all season.

The Overrule advises a three point selection on Svitolina at 8/13 with Winner, who void retirements, which is our preferred rule on match betting selections.

3* Elina Svitolina beat Christina McHale at 8/13 (Winner)