Wednesday, 6 March 2013
ATP Indian Wells
Tomas Berdych has been in a rich vein of form reaching the final in Dubai and Marseille in recent weeks and has the opportunity for a deep run at Indian Wells having been drawn in the most appealing quarter of the draw.
World number one Novak Djokovic takes his place at the top of the first quarter, Andy Murray and Juan Martin del Potro reside in the second quarter while Rafael Nadal and defending champion Roger Federer could meet in the last eight from the fourth quarter. Berdych and David Ferrer are in the third quarter and both players will view this as a chance to have their best run at the tournament.
Neither Berdych or Ferrer have been beyond the quarter-final stage at the first Masters event of the season but that should change for one of them over the next ten days. Ferrer dismantled Berdych during the Davis Cup final in straight sets and if they meet at Indian Wells it will be their first battle since that encounter.
Should Berdych reach the last four he's liable to meet Federer (who he just beat in Dubai) or Nadal (who is playing his first hard court event back on tour since returning from injury). Djokovic is unbeaten this season and it's hard to back against him reaching another final and winning another title. Berdych has an awful record against Djokovic but the 11/1 for a place in the final is more than big enough for us to get involved.
The Overrule is happy to ride the hot hand of Berdych at an inflated 22/1. We'll back him with one point each-way meaning one point at 22/1 to win the title and one point at 11/1 to reach the final.
1* Tomas Berdych win Indian Wells (each-way) at 22/1 (Stan James) (each-way terms 1/2 odds 1-2 places)