Wednesday, 20 March 2013

WTA Miami

Main draw action is already underway in Miami as Serena Williams makes her return to the tour following her yearly boycott of Indian Wells. Serena and Victoria Azarenka have separated themselves from the remainder of the tour over the past twelve months and that dominance is liable to continue in Miami.

Azarenka may well have to withdraw from the event at some point as she continues to struggle with injury which forced her to allow Caroline Wozniacki a walkover at Indian Wells. That leaves the legitimate challengers to Serena sparse as Azarenka and Petra Kvitova are the only players currently on tour that can give Serena a run for her money when she's in form on hard courts.

Kvitova and Li Na are in Serena's half of the draw with Li playing an event for the first time since the Australian Open final. Indian Wells champion Maria Sharapova will fancy her chances of reaching a consecutive final with an ailing Azarenka in the bottom half of the draw.

The Overrule estimates Serena's chances of tournament success are significantly higher than the 47.6% that she is priced at - at 11/10. 8/13 would be a fairer reflection of Serena's true value in this event given Azarenka's injury issues, Li's absence of match sharpness and Kvitova's unreliability. We're happy to go all in on Serena with a maximum five point selection.

5* Serena Williams win Miami @ 11/10 (Boylesports)

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