Tuesday, 5 March 2013

Pending Selections Overview (1)


As there is a lull in the tennis season as we await Indian Wells to begin on both the ATP and WTA Tours it gives us a chance on The Overrule to overview our selections outstanding.

Sara Errani under 2.5 singles titles 3* @ EVS - Errani won her first title of the season in Acapulco on clay where she was tournament favorite to do so. The Italian also reached the final of Paris and Dubai where she lost to Mona Barthel and Petra Kvitova respectively. Clay court events will define whether Errani will go over this total. If she is still on one title going into the grass court season we will be very short odds-on to win this selection.

Petra Kvitova ranked higher than Angelique Kerber 3* @ 4/5 - Kvitova is closing in on Kerber having captured the title in Dubai. Kerber currently ranks 6th on 5400 points while Kvitova has moved up to 7th since the start of the season on 4980 points. In the yearly race Kvitova is ahead on 976 points (6 events) to Kerber's 602 points (5 events). Kvitova appears to be regaining her confidence and form while Kerber is playing while not 100%. Kerber has much to defend as the season progresses and Kvitova would have to be priced more in the 1/2 range to finish above her at this point.

Mona Barthel under 37.5 year end ranking 2* @ 20/23 - Barthel is already well under her ranking quota at 28 having won the indoor title in Paris. With so little to defend over the coming months it's hard to see anything but further progress for Mona. She has a great chance of ending the season in the top 20 and making a mockery of her ranking quota.

Eugenie Bouchard under 106.5 year end ranking 2* @ 20/23 - Bouchard is ranked 123 up from 147 at the start of the season. Genie hadn't produced much of anything this season up until a recent good showing in Acapulco. 78 points off a place in the top 106 of the world I'd fully expect Genie to beat her ranking quota by the end of the season.

Svetlana Kuznetsova French Open outright each-way 0.5* @ 150/1 - The Overrule backed Kuznetsova for the French Open at 150/1 at the tail end of the Australian Open and that price has since been slashed. Sveta is now as short as 33/1 and as big as 50/1. The 150/1 is long gone and with the French Open likely to be the most open Grand Slam of the year for the women we are very happy with the value obtained on this selection.

Czech Republic Fed Cup outright 2* @ 5/1 - All four favorites won their ties in the last eight and so there wasn't much movement in the market. The Czechs who have won Fed Cup the past two years are now as short as 3/1 to defend the title and as big as 4/1. The Czechs travel to Italy on clay in April and if they reach the final they would host either Russia or Slovakia indoors on hard. The Overrule would maintain the Czechs still represent value at 4/1 and we are quite happy to have got them at 5/1.

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